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Lake Tahoe Real Estate Market News
April
HIGHLIGHTS:

Deb Howard & Co. Newsletter
APRIL 2010

 
LAKE TAHOE REAL ESTATE UPDATE

 

Greetings from Tahoe this lovely Spring Season 2010.

As hope springs eternal so does the optimism and excitement that the Spring season brings with it and this year this is particularly true.

Not only is the Spring season creating a sense of new beginnings within the our homes and the economy, but also within the real estate industry. Buyer's are tiptoeing out from their winter's den in search of values that will compel them to purchase their second home and or investment property, particularly while the rates are still so attractive.

Sellers are coming to the negotiating table ever more knowledgeable about the market conditions and the long-term trend forecasts that indicate we are at or near the bottom of the market and that we will likely bounce along the bottom for the period of economic recovery. The bottom line is if you need to sell in the foreseeable future, prices are as good as they're going to get (for the short term that is).

The South Tahoe Association of Realtors trends indicate that the market has flattened at $317K median home price also evidenced by the lower decline in price year over year (click here for more details). The year-to-date numbers confirm a trend of increasing sales and decreasing price (year over year). However the very interesting trend we are witnessing is the stabilization of prices for the past 3 months as our median home price is hovering around $315-$317K and on a month over month basis the prices are even showing some increase for the past month. While I'm fairly confident that we're at the bottom of the market, I'll wait to claim that we are starting the move upwards in prices until we have 3 months of statistics to confirm.

The good news is, however, that we are enjoying favorable selling conditions; sellers are realistic with pricing and buyers are serious about jumping in (finally). Fence sitters are moving off the fence!

More to follow as we ramp up for summer selling season!

Sincerely,

Deb Howard

Deb Howard
Deb Howard & Company
Lake Tahoe's Real Estate Resource
866-542-2912 toll free
530-542-8657 fax
deb@realtordeb.com
www.realtordeb.com
3599 Lake Tahoe Blvd. Ste A
South Lake Tahoe, CA 96150

 

Lake Tahoe Real Estate Update

2009 Q4 Existing Home Sales Rise

Foreclosures Down in January

Home Values Down in Fourth Quarter

Mortgage Rates Near Record Lows

California New Home Sales on the Rise

Fed Leaves Rates
Unchanged

Team Announcements

MLS Statistics

C.A.R. Statistics

Mortgage Rate Update

Comparison Stats for
SLT Real Estate

 
Lake Tahoe Real Estate Broker
Toll Free
866-542-2912

Office
530-542-2912

Fax
530-542-8657

3599 Lake Tahoe Blvd
Suite A
South Lake Tahoe, California 96150
   


Q4 '09 EXISTING HOME SALES RISE


The expanded homebuyer tax credit helped boost existing-home sales in the fourth quarter of 2009, NAR announced. Total existing-home sales in the fourth quarter were 27.2 percent above the level recorded a year earlier. Fourth quarter sales were 13.9 percent higher than the previous quarter, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.03 million. Distressed properties accounted for 32 percent of fourth quarter transactions, which marks a decline from the Q4 2008 rate of 37 percent.

Quarterly sales increased in 48 states and the District of Columbia, with 32 states posting double-digit gains. Year-over-year sales rose in 49 states. But pricing pressure was still a factor in the market. The national median existing single-family home price was $172,900 in the fourth quarter, which is 4.1 percent below the median price recorded in the fourth quarter of last year.

“The surge in home sales was driven by buyers responding strongly to the tax credit combined with record low mortgage interest rates,” says NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun. “With inventory levels trending down over the past 18 months, we expect broadly balanced housing market conditions in much of the country by late spring with more areas showing higher prices.”

More

Source: Council of Residential Specialists


U.S. FORECLOSURES DECLINE IN JANUARY

Foreclosure filings, including default notices, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions, were reported on 315,716 U.S. properties during January, a 10 percent decrease from December but still 15 percent higher than January 2009, according to the latest RealtyTrac figures released today. One in every 409 U.S. homes received a foreclosure filing during the month.

REO activity fell 5 percent from the previous month, but was up 31 percent from a year ago. Default notices were down 12 percent in January, but were up 4 percent from January 2009, while scheduled auctions were down 11 percent for the month but were 15 percent higher than a year ago.

RealtyTrac’s CEO James J. Saccacio says the January foreclosure data is similar to a year ago, when a double-digit jump in foreclosure activity in December 2008 was followed by a 10 percent drop in January 2009. “If history repeats itself, we will see a surge in the numbers over the next few months as lenders foreclose on delinquent loans where neither the existing loan modification programs or the new short sale and deed-in-lieu of foreclosure alternatives works,” Saccacio says.

Nevada continues to lead the country in foreclosure activity with one in every 95 households receiving a foreclosure filing during January, more than four times the national average. Arizona was second with one in every 129 households receiving a foreclosure filing.

Las Vegas had the highest metro foreclosure rate in the country, with one in every 82 households receiving a foreclosure filing during the month, despite a decrease of 2 percent in foreclosure activity from the previous month and 21 percent drop in activity from a year ago. Phoenix was the only metro area among the top 10 to post a month-over-month increase (4 percent) in foreclosure activity.

Source: Council of Residential Specialists



U.S. HOME VALUES DECLINE IN FOURTH QUARTER


U.S. home values fell 5 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009 over the previous year, marking the 12th consecutive quarter of year-over-year declines, according to the Q4 2009 Zillow Real Estate Market Report. Home values nationwide also fell 0.5 percent from the previous quarter to a median price of $186,200.

After showing at least five consecutive month-to-month increases in home values during 2009, 29 of the 143 markets tracked by Zillow showed flat or decreasing values in the second half of the year. Negative equity remained high at 21 percent of all single-family homes with mortgages.

The number of homeowners who lost their home to foreclosure peaked in December, with more than one in every 1,000 homes being foreclosed, Zillow reports. Foreclosure re-sales made up more than one-fifth of all U.S. home sales in December. Additionally, 28.5 percent of home sales nationwide sold for less than what the seller originally paid.


Source: Council of Residential Specialists

 


MORTGAGE RATES HOVER NEAR RECORD LOWS


McLean, VA – Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®) in which the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.93 percent with an average 0.7 point for the week ending February 18, 2010, down from last week when it averaged 4.97 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.04 percent.

“Mortgage rates eased for the second week, while economic data releases suggest that the housing market may be in a slow state of recovery,” said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist. “The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) reported that existing home sales rose in 48 states and the District of Columbia between the third and fourth quarters of 2009; 32 states experienced double-digit growth. In addition, 67 metropolitan areas saw positive annual house price growth in the fourth quarter, more than double that in the third quarter, according to the NAR.

“New home construction is also slowly improving. One-family housing starts rose to an annual pace of 484,000 homes in January, which is up almost 36 percent from January 2009, based on the U.S. Census figures. Moreover, homebuilder assessments of market conditions over the first half of 2010 improved in February, according to National Association of Homebuilders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index.”

More
(Courtesy of Freddie Mac)

 
CALIFORNIA NEW-HOME SALES RISE 25 PERCENT

Sales in new-home communities of 10 units or more in California rose 25 percent in October compared with a year ago, according to the monthly California Building Industry Association (CBIA)/HanleyWood Market Intelligence report. The increase marked the first year-to-year sales appreciation since December 2006, according to CBIA. Sales of single-family homes increased 4 percent, while sales of townhomes and multiple-unit homes rose 36 percent. Condominium sales increased 94 percent compared with a year ago, according to the report.

“While this month’s figures are encouraging, we must keep in mind that we’re comparing the figures to October of 2008, which was the second lowest month of nominal sales we’ve seen during the downturn,” said Jonathan Dienhart, director of published research for HanleyWood Market Intelligence.

More info

 


FED HOLDS KEY INTEREST RATE UNCHANGED

Dec. 16, 2009

The Federal Reserve today announced it will maintain its target for the federal funds rate in the 0 percent to 0.25 percent range, and expects economic conditions to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period of time. “Information ? suggests that economic activity has continued to pick up and that the deterioration in the labor market is abating,” the Fed said in a prepared statement.

“Financial market conditions have become more supportive of economic growth, although economic activity is likely to remain weak for a time. The Committee anticipates that policy actions to stabilize financial markets and institutions, fiscal and monetary stimulus, and market forces will contribute to a strengthening of economic growth and a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability,” the Fed said.

To provide support to mortgage lending and housing markets and to improve overall conditions in private credit markets, the Federal Reserve also said it will purchase a total of $1.25 trillion of agency mortgage-backed securities and nearly $175 billion of agency debt, and will gradually slow the pace of these purchases in order to promote a smooth transition in markets.

More Info

(Source: Federal Reserve Board)

 
TEAM ANNOUNCEMENTS
   
Congratulations to all of our team members who have, against the odds (and the goofy market), excelled not only in their sales activity but also as vital contributors to the overall team and office environment. Notable mentions go to:
Deb Howard
   
Shannon Witt, with nearly two years in the profession, took Agent of the Year Honors for 2008 with very impressive sales stats. We welcomed Shannon onboard with Deb Howard & Company in April 2007.
Shannon can be contacted through our office or her email at:
Shannon
Witt
   
   
Michelle Keck, our consistent top producer went away with Listing Agent of the Year for 2008, and is already racking up impressive numbers for 2009.
Michelle can be contacted through our office or her email at:
Michelle Keck
   
   
Corrie Anderson, another consistent top producer garnered the Nevada Agent of the Year for 2008. She has also celebrated her 3-year anniversary with Deb Howard & Co.
Corrie can be contacted through our office or her email at:
Corrie Anderson
   

 

CURRENT SOUTH LAKE TAHOE MARKET STATISTICS
  No. of Listings $ Volume Average Price Median Price Average D.O.M.
Active Listings
Listings Under Contract
Listings Sold 2009
Residential Homes Sold 2009
(as of  11 / 22 / 09 )
626
65
 451
368
$325,680,256
$22,734,855
$162,714,175
$145,351,967

$520,256
$411,767
$360,077
$394,978

$350,000 $275,000 $299,900 $315,000
252
120
172
160 
 
SINGLE FAMILY HOME MEDIAN PRICE BY AREA
Al Tahoe
$ 570,000 (27)
No.Upper Truckee
$ 639,000 (22)
Bijou
$ 439,000 (29)
Sierra Tract
$ 299,000 (20)
Christmas Valley
$ 499,000 (11)
Stateline
$ 339,900 (11)
Gardner Mountain
$ 428,500 (17)
Tahoe Island Park
$ 430,950 (10)
Heavenly Valley
$ 549,000 (21)
Tahoe Keys
$ 1,147,500 (54)
Meyers
$ 539,500 (12)
Tahoe Paradise
$ 465,000 (19)
Montgomery Est.
$ 688,000 (29)
Y Area
$ 382,000 (10)
(as of  11 / 22 / 09 )

CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS MARKET STATISTICS
Calif. Median Home Price

Calif. Highest Median Price by C.A.R. Region

Calif. Lowest Median Price by C.A.R. Region

(as of  12 / 30 / 09 )
Source: California Association of Realtors
Oct. 2009

Oct. 2009

Oct. 2009


$297,500

Santa Barbara $970,000

High Desert $118,580
 
MORTGAGE RATE UPDATE
Mortgage Rates as of 2 / 19 / 2010
(Western U.S. Average)

(Source: Freddie Mac)
30 Year Fixed
15 Year Fixed
1 Year Adj.
4.88 %
4.29 %
4.24 %
Fees & Points:  0.8 %
Fees & Points:  0.6 %
Fees & Points:  1.0 %
 
COMPARISON STATISTICS FOR THE SOUTH LAKE TAHOE REAL ESTATE MARKET
  Median Sales Price
This Month Last Year
Percent Increase
Residential Sales -
November 2009
$320,000
$412,500
-22.4%
Residential Sales -
November 2008
$412,500 $445,000 -7.3%
STAOR Methodology used. Multi-Year Statistics Here.
 
  No. of Listings
$ Volume
Average
Price
Median
Price
Average
D.O.M.
Residential Sales -
Q3 2009
127
$51,620,775
$406,463 $315,000 151
Residential Sales -
Q3 2008
102 $49,843,383 $488,661 $420,000 152

page revised on 2 / 24 / 10
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